Debarring Independent Candidates from Contesting Elections – Did the Law Commission get its recommendation right?

independent candidates debarred law commission suggestion

The Law Commission of India has now submitted its 255th Report on Electoral Reforms. The recommendations were made in a host of areas. Some of the important areas where the recommendations were made include

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We will do a series of articles on some of these important areas and look at the recommendations of the Law Commission. In this article we will look at the issue of Independent candidates in elections since the Law Commission in its 255th Report has recommended debarring Independent candidates from contesting in Parliament & Assembly Elections.

Even the 170th Law Commission report in 1999 had recommended debarring the independent candidates from contesting in elections. The reasons for these recommendations are manifold. The NCRWC (The National Commission to Review   the Working of the Constitution) recommended the “discouragement” of independent candidates, who are often “dummy” candidates or defectors from their party or those denied party tickets. It is also argued that independent candidates are non-serious candidates with very little chance of winning. In the recent times it is also observed that there exists a practice of independent candidates standing with the same name as candidates from recognized political parties, and this can cause a real confusion in the minds of the public, which might only look at the name of the candidate instead of the party symbol. But what do the numbers say about these reasons?

Number of Independents over the years

The number of independents contesting elections has steadily increased starting from the first general election in 1951. In 2014, a total of 3234 independents contested the election. An overwhelming number of these independents forfeit their deposits every election. In 2014, 99.5% of these 3234 candidates forfeited their deposits. From 1951 to 2014, a total of 97.92% of the independent candidates forfeited their deposits adding credence to the charge that a large number of these candidates are non-serious candidates.

Year Number of Independent Candidates Number of Independent Candidates who forfeited their deposit Percentage of Independent candidates who forfeited their deposit
1951 533 360 67.54%
1957 481 324 67.36%
1962 479 378 78.91%
1967 866 747 86.26%
1971 1134 1066 94.00%
1977 1224 1190 97.22%
1980 2826 2794 98.87%
1984 3894 3830 98.36%
1989 3713 3672 98.90%
1991 5546 5529 99.69%
1996 10636 10604 99.70%
1998 1915 1898 99.11%
1999 1945 1928 99.13%
2004 2385 2370 99.37%
2009 3831 3806 99.35%
2014 3234 3218 99.51%

 


(Any candidate who secures less than 1/6th of the total valid votes polled in a constituency will forfeit the security deposit paid)

Independent Candidates & Success

The ability of independent candidates to win an election always had a question mark and the numbers don’t prove otherwise. In all the General elections since 1951, independent candidates could win only 3% of the total seats and their success rate (Number of winners/Number of contestants) has been a mere 0.5%.

Year Total No of Contestants Total Number of seats Number of Independent Candidates Number of Winners from Independents Success Rate of Candidates from Political Parties Success Rate of Independent Candidates
1951 1874 489 533 37 33.7% 6.9%
1957 1519 494 481 42 43.5% 8.7%
1962 1985 494 479 20 31.5% 4.2%
1967 2369 520 866 35 32.3% 4.0%
1971 2784 518 1134 14 30.5% 1.2%
1977 2439 542 1224 9 43.9% 0.7%
1980 4629 529 2826 9 28.8% 0.3%
1984 5492 541 3894 13 33.0% 0.3%
1989 6160 529 3713 12 21.1% 0.3%
1991 8749 534 5546 1 16.6% 0.0%
1996 13952 543 10636 9 16.1% 0.1%
1998 4750 543 1915 6 18.9% 0.3%
1999 4648 543 1945 6 19.9% 0.3%
2004 5435 543 2385 5 17.6% 0.2%
2009 8070 543 3831 9 12.6% 0.2%
2014 8251 543 3234 3 10.8% 0.1%

 

Independent Candidates & Vote Percentage

Independent Candidates polled more than 10% of the total valid vote in the first four general elections. After that, their vote percentage saw a steady decline and in 2014, they polled just 3% of the total vote.

Year Vote Percentage of Candidates from Political Parties Vote Percentage of Independents
1951 84.1 15.9
1957 80.68 19.32
1962 88.95 11.05
1967 86.22 13.78
1971 91.62 8.38
1977 94.5 5.5
1980 93.57 6.43
1984 90.6 9.4
1989 94.75 5.25
1991 95.8 4.2
1996 93.72 6.28
1998 97.63 2.37
1999 97.26 2.74
2004 95.75 4.25
2009 94.8 5.2
2014 96.94 3.06

 

What did the Law Commission Recommend?

Looking at the ahove numbers, it does look like the Law Commission got its recommendation right when it said that independents be debarred from contesting elections since it is not difficult to register a political party. The Law Commission recommended that independent candidates be barred from contesting in Parliament & Assembly elections and that Section 4, Section 5 of the Representation of People’s Act be amended accordingly.

Data Sources:

Election Commission of India Statistical Reports
Law Commission of India, 255th Report on Electoral Reforms